Q1 Money Flows: A First Take

Look at a YTD price chart for the S&P 500 or any other large global equity market and you’d think that buyers stepped in on January 4th and have been …

History Says Stay Bullish On US Stocks

Over the past couple of months we’ve given you a historically based playbook on how the US equity market would perform in Q1 after an abnormally large January return, as …

Unemployment Claims As Bear Market Warning

As a matter of analytical preference, we like datasets that offer an exact count over those that are survey-based. The monthly US Employment Situation Summary, aka the first-Friday Jobs Report, is …